There are some people that still believe that climate change is a
myth and it just has been made up. This is probably because they don't notice
any important change in the climate. But the truth is that climate change is
already affecting some parts of the world, and as the United
Nations Environmental Programme suggests, Africa will be the continent the
most affected by the changes in climate patterns. This is due to the
geographical location, low income and institution incapacity to adapt the
country to the changes (Conway,
2009). In this entry I want to dig in some of the effects the change in
climate is already having on the water resources in sub-Saharan Africa.
-Flooding
The first main change Sub-Saharan Africa is already suffering from
is flooding. According to Nagarajan, 2010, 26% of the natural
disasters that affected this region between 1971-2001 where caused by flooding.
I firmly believe the main reason why this is occurring is because
traditionally, African communities have seen floodplains as the perfect place
for settlement and for their agriculture activities due to the richness of
their soil. However, these areas are now frequent scenes for important
inundations. As an article
from the Journal of Economics and Sustainable development on the impacts of
climate change on water resources points out, “floods across Sub-Saharan Africa
are reported to be the worst in decades in some places and extend in an arc
from Mauritania in the west to Kenya in the east”. Flooding has a directly
effect on the quality of water, deteriorating both surface and ground water due
to an increase in groundwater recharge and consequently affecting mainly the
population’s health and the quality of the crops. (UNFCCC,
2011)
-Droughts
Climate change is largely characterised by extreme events. While flooding
is disturbing some places, others are seeing how what it used to be short-term
droughts are increasing in time and becoming more extreme.
A report
on droughts and aridity that can be found in the Hydrology and Earth Systems
Journal indicates that aridity trends over Africa have increased during the 20th
century and they are expected to continually increase. As the study by Masih
at al indicates, there are several causes associated with the
droughts. The environmental phase known
as El Niño seems to be the phenomenon that affects drought the most. Nevertheless,
the warming of the Indian Ocean due to rising temperatures seemed to be a mayor
cause of the increasing droughts especially in East Africa. Droughts have a
very important long-term effect on the amount of groundwater as groundwater
recharge decreases when there are long periods of lacking rainfall.
Although the economical and social consequences of climate change
will have its own space in this blog, I wanted to give a brief summary of what
I think are the main issues with the variability of water resources in
Sab-Saharan Africa due to changes in weather patterns. The economical and social effects these extreme climate events have
are enormous and range from human deaths to immeasurable agricultural losses
going through resettlement and migration problems. For example, in august of
2016, floods in Sudan affected 200,000 of people; caused 98 deaths; and over
20,000 lost their houses (floodlist,
2016). Moreover, Ethiopia faced this year one of the worst droughts they
have had in decades leaving more than 400,000 children in risk of extreme
hunger and most of the crops failed due to lack of rainfall. (The
Guardian, 2016)
You engage well with the key issues here but do engage more with a relevant literature and be cautious of word choices. UNEP would not "dictate" what climate change impacts are but possibly suggest. Another reason why poorer people settle in flood-prone swamp environments is that these are less likely to have an allocated land deed and so may enable 'squatting'. Any thought what major influence on climate variability is associated with this year's drought in Ethiopia?
ResponderEliminarI believe this year's drought in Ethiopia was mainly influenced and caused by the meteorological event called "El Niño" that warms the waters of the Eastern pacific oceans changing the weather patterns all around the world.
Eliminar